, Ohio
Quicken Loans Arena
July 18-21 2016

 


The 2016 Republican National Convention (RNC) will convene in Cleveland, Ohio on July 18-21, 2016. The Republican National Committee has scheduled the 41st RNC a month earlier than previous editions in order to bypass a Federal Election Commission campaign spending restrictions.

The decision to select Cleveland as host, the first time since 1936, is designed to facilitate an earlier informal campaigning in Ohio, a key battleground swing-state. Every winning presidential candidate since 1964 has captured Ohio. The trend for Republican presidential candidates stretches even further to 1860, when Abraham Lincoln triumphed over Democratic candidate George B. McClellan. A secondary reason behind the timing of the convention is the Rio summer Olympics (August 5 - 21), which is certain to draw the nation’s attention away from costly campaign advertisements.

Other cities that were considered as host include Cincinnati, Columbus, Denver, Kansas City, Las Vegas and Phoenix. The hosting job was highly sought after. Aside from the prestige, the event is expected to generate in excess of $400 million to the local economy.

Columbus and Phoenix were eliminated on April 2, 2014 after preliminary review. Cincinnati and Las Vegas, meanwhile, withdrew on May 22, 2014. On June 25, 2014, the Republican National Committee announced that the cities of Cleveland and Dallas would continue to the final round of consideration to host the 2016 Convention. The recommendation to select 'Cleveland 2016' was made following a final review by RNC' site selection committee on July 8, 2014.

Talk of a brokered or contested convention is fast gaining popularity these days owing to the remarkably good performances of Donald Trump in the Republican primaries. The prospect of the businessman winning the Republican presidential nomination has spooked the Republican orthodoxy, leading to a strategic rethink on alternative solutions to prevent his nomination. Even 2012 Republican presidential candidate and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney was roped in to assist in dampening Trump’s momentum.

A brokered or contested GOP convention would be the single largest political event in television and internet history. Reporters, media outlets and political junkies would probably trade their soul just to see it happen in their lifetime. It is worth noting though that discussions about a contested or brokered convention have in fact been circulating since December 2015, before the primary process even begun!

It is also worth pointing out that, contrary to popular belief, brokered and contested conventions are actually two different things; the former actually refers to backroom deals and negotiations involving senior party figures, while the latter entails delegates voting at the convention.

Before we delve deeper into the subject, we should probably get ourselves acquainted first with the GOP’s 2016 Presidential Nominating Process.

Brokered Conventions      Contested Conventions


  2016 Republican Presidential Primary Polls


15-day
 average
 Trump 45.2% 50% 49% 46% 40% 45% 44% 42% 53% 46% 39% 45% 38% 40% 48% 47.55% 
 Cruz 29.1% 26% 31% 28% 35% 27% 32% 29% 25% 30% 38% 28% 31% 35% 29% 28.53% 
 Kasich 16.8% 17% 16% 19% 24% 25% 21% 18% 18% 16% 19% 18% 19% 20% 18% 17.20% 
  
Listed alphabetically
Republican polls | order based on 15 day average Listed by 15-day running average
Listed by 30-day running average
  All Republican Primary Polls
   
  
Republican polls | order based on 30 day average Mar 29 - Apr 24, 2016 polls
Mar 06 - Mar 29, 2016 polls
Feb 11 - Mar 06, 2016 polls
Jan 24 - Feb 11, 2016 polls
Jan 06 - Jan 24, 2016 polls
Dec 09, 2015 - Jan 06, 2016 polls
   


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